End of the 4-Year Cycle? Bitcoin Ends Post-Halving Year in Red

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Following the 2012 halving, Bitcoin surged to end the following year at a new high; and a similar pattern played out in 2016 and again in 2020.

Bitcon has ended 2025 lower than it began, marking the first time it’s fallen in a post-halving year.

Bitcoin halvings occur every four years, when mining rewards are cut in half and fewer new coins enter the market. Historically, this has resulted in a cycle of accumulation: a post-halving bull run that peaks, followed by a sharp correction and a multi-year bear market.

After the 2012 halving, Bitcoin spiked to end the following year at a new high; a similar pattern played out in 2016 and again in 2020. 

However, the pattern has broken this time. 

Despite the latest halving being in April 2024, Bitcoin is now trading down more than 30% from its all-time high of $126,080, set on Oct 6 and ending the year lower than it began.

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